Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.232122 0.274520 0.319780 0.371414 0.428412 0.489145 0.558484
2024-10-20 0.171376 0.227552 0.291953 0.370131 0.461370 0.563448 0.685240
2024-10-27 0.133826 0.198621 0.277984 0.379697 0.504005 0.648563 0.826925
2024-11-03 0.106750 0.176829 0.268243 0.391270 0.547723 0.735592 0.973738
2024-11-10 0.085921 0.158883 0.260034 0.402419 0.589955 0.821410 1.121482
2024-11-17 0.064726 0.135794 0.241173 0.396667 0.608847 0.877848 1.234188
2024-11-24 0.051205 0.121277 0.231831 0.401847 0.640895 0.950738 1.368369
2024-12-01 0.038291 0.104449 0.216314 0.396062 0.656679 1.002038 1.475550
2024-12-08 0.026772 0.086634 0.196244 0.380985 0.657617 1.032593 1.555596
2024-12-15 0.021320 0.079284 0.192159 0.389203 0.691104 1.106837 1.693534
2024-12-22 0.015079 0.067758 0.178821 0.381244 0.699984 1.147065 1.786592
2024-12-29 0.012818 0.065328 0.181733 0.399494 0.747952 1.241956 1.954097
2025-01-05 0.009260 0.057802 0.173961 0.399699 0.769320 1.301243 2.076348
2025-01-12 0.006660 0.051656 0.167877 0.402073 0.793790 1.365259 2.206100
2025-01-19 0.005178 0.048514 0.167619 0.414497 0.834163 1.452704 2.369381
2025-01-26 0.004044 0.045950 0.168176 0.428208 0.876760 1.543956 2.539078
2025-02-02 0.003092 0.043394 0.168296 0.440946 0.917986 1.633813 2.707984
2025-02-09 0.001846 0.037497 0.159172 0.435360 0.928897 1.679073 2.814790
2025-02-16 0.001212 0.034292 0.156187 0.441205 0.958547 1.752343 2.961829
2025-02-23 0.000609 0.029448 0.147676 0.435239 0.967907 1.795137 3.065877
2025-03-02 0.000196 0.023722 0.134947 0.419279 0.959228 1.810041 3.129770
2025-03-09 0.000095 0.022047 0.134134 0.428117 0.993425 1.890644 3.289028
2025-03-16 0.000015 0.018374 0.125693 0.419670 0.996799 1.923653 3.379488